What are the chances of Tottenham Hotspur being relegated? Drop becomes twice as likely after Crystal Palace implosion

Spurs lost 2-1 to Fulham and suffered a 4-1 humiliation at Arsenal, but are just one point ahead of 17th-placed Nottingham Forest.

Igor Tudor’s side are currently without a win in 11 league games and have a total of 29 points after 29 games, giving them a disastrous Points Per Game (PPG) ratio of 1.

Following the defeat to Palace, Opta judged Spurs to have a 16.1% chance of being relegated.

Spurs’ next league game at Anfield will be against Liverpool, who are caught between two fierce Champions League ties with Atletico Madrid.

Tudor was hired based on his track record of steering teams out of disaster and delivering short-term gains, but the logic behind his interim appointment has yet to materialize.

He has managed to instantly improve Udinese, Lazio and Juventus in Serie A, but the Premier League is a different story, with Spurs’ players seemingly completely lacking not just their first-class ability but also their confidence.

Before playing Palace, Spurs were given an 8% chance of being relegated by Opta. After that defeat, this number doubled to 16.1%.

Statistics provided by: Opta

Team relegation probability (%) Wolverhampton Wanderers 99.9 Burnley 99.4 West Ham United 49.5 Nottingham Forest 26.9 Tottenham Hotspur 16.1 Leeds United 8.1

Solanke reveals Spurs team had ‘big conversation’ after Palace defeat

Video credit: TNT Sports

Spurs finished 17th last season with 38 points. However, at the same stage last year, they had 34 points after 29 games, meaning the threat of relegation never materialized.

This is mainly due to the poor form of Leicester City and Ipswich Town, who are in 18th and 19th place.

However, Forest and West Ham piled up points in their final five games of the season, as Spurs officially reached their worst points total after 29 games in the Premier League season.

This is the first time in 29 games that they have fewer than 30 points.

The number of points scored has also decreased significantly from last season. At the time, Ange Postecoglou’s side had scored 55 league goals, compared to 39 this season.

Although they have conceded only 3 more goals than last year, their low scoring ability means they are significantly inferior in goal difference.

Statistics provided by: Opta

Season Team Match Win Draw Loss GFGAGDPts Final Standing 2025-26 Tottenham Hotspur 2978143946-729-1993-94 Tottenham Hotspur 2979133639-330151997-98 Tottenham Hotspur 2986152644-1830142024-25 Tottenham Hotspur 2910 41555431234172007-08 Tottenham Hotspur 2998125447735112008-09 Tottenham Hotspur 29981235341358

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What are Tottenham’s remaining games?

Spurs’ woes are compounded by a tough nine games remaining, including trips to Anfield and Stamford Bridge.

An important “6 points” showdown will take place against fellow bottom six teams Wolves, Forest and Leeds.

Four of the remaining nine games are at home, making the season even worse.

They were overwhelmingly disappointing at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, winning just two games there all season and posting a PPG of 0.66.

Somehow, they have fared better on the road, winning five games, with a PPG of 1.35 and an even goal differential of 21.

Normally, playing tight games at home would be a boost, but the opposite seems to be the case for Spurs, and more away games should be seen as a positive.

But who will they face and when will the crucial game against fellow relegation candidates take place?

Spurs remaining games

Liverpool (A), March 15Nottingham Forest (H), March 22Sunderland (A), April 12Brighton (H), April 18thWolves (A), April 25Aston Villa (A) May 2ndLeeds United (H), May 9Chelsea (A), May 17thEverton (H), May 24

Last season, Spurs were top of the table in only two matches, at home to Everton and at home to Aston Villa.

Let’s take a look at last season’s results for the remaining games excluding Leeds and Sunderland.

Statistics provided by: Opta

Date Team Opponents vs Venue Results Results 24 – August 24th Tottenham Hotspur Everton 40HW03 – November 24th Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa 41HW08 – December 24th Tottenham Hotspur Chelsea 34HL13 – April 25th Tottenham Hotspur Luverhampton Wanderers 24AL21-Apr-25Tottenham HotspurNottingham Forest 12HL27-Apr-25Tottenham Hotspur Liverpool 15AL25-May 25Tottenham Hotspur Brighton & Hove Albion 14HL

Visits to Liverpool, Villa and Chelsea will make this nine-game losing streak extremely dangerous for Tudor’s team.

This data conclusively points to the fact that Spurs are embroiled in a relegation battle, and if things continue to deteriorate, one of the league’s biggest teams could fall into the Championship.

Looking at the statistics, Wolves, Burnley and West Ham are likely to fall down the table, but it remains to be seen whether Spurs can survive the next nine games.