Who can catch Liverpool?
Speaking of which, how do defending champion Liverpool expect to perform this season?
Well, after cruising to the title and finishing a comfortable 10 points ahead of the last second place Arsenal, a friend of Opta tilted Arne Slot’s Reds to defend the crown in the Premier League back-to-back.
The success of the previous period, coupled with an impressive transfer business in the summer window, is opposed to Liverpool being opposed to win the league 28.7% on the supercomputer, with only 24.7% of Arsenal having the chance to catch the term merges oider.
In fact, the title race is expected to be a closed shop, with Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City (18.3%) being the only other team given a shot of 10% or more in the title.
Bruce wants to tighten up the top four grip
Beyond the title, the next major target will be finishing in Top 4 and UEFA Champions League qualifications, with Chelsea poised to continue what appears to be an increasingly good life under Enzo Maresca.
After Chelsea, two teams who have arrived in the Champions League have promised land in recent years and are determined to do so again, Aston Villa and Newcastle United are likely to finish in the top four with a 30% chance.
Finished in the top 4
European Chase Palace and Brighton
Before considering Cup winners and more, last season’s surprise package has only a 12.4% chance of winning the top five this year.
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Highlights: After Ekitique scores the first Liverpool goal, the palace wins a community shield with a penalty
Video Credit: TNT Sports
The tough times continue for Spurs and United
Last season, two members of the Premier League “Big Six” were seen in danger as Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur dangerously hovered into the relegation zone, finishing in 15th and 17th place respectively.
Yes, both sides reached the Europa League final – the match the Spurs won – but it couldn’t be distracted from the poor form in the country.
The victory in Bilbao means the North London side will play Champions League football this season, but planning to compete in the upcoming season through the league anyway seems like a distant dream anyway.
Without European distractions, Reuben Amorim United is also expected to be difficult to crack the top edge of the table, with both sides under 10% chances of finishing in the top four, and not even taking a Europa League location in fifth place.
3, 3 down
At the bottom of the league, championship playoff winner Sunderland is expected to return quickly to the second tier, with 66.5% chances being demoted and 34% could support the table.
In fact, it is expected that fellow new boys Leeds United (48.2%) and Burnley (46%) will also knock down the trap door. This means that for the third consecutive Premier League season, all three promoted teams will return straight back.
The only hopes to break this spell are in the form of Wolverhampton Wanderers (26.3%) and West Ham United (21.5%).
And if they were interested after last season’s performance, the Spurs are 13% likely to be demoted, while Manchester United is 11.9%.
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Final Premier League Predicted Position 2025/26 (%)
Image credit: Opta
