{"id":26782,"date":"2026-03-19T23:17:34","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T23:17:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T23:17:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T23:17:34","slug":"7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/","title":{"rendered":"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><span class=\"capital-letter\">W<\/span>Is it possible that the final between Madrid and Atleti will be played again in the Champions League, where the two teams met in Milan 10 years ago and in Lisbon 12 years ago?<\/p>\n<p>The arithmetic answer is that there are very few. Very few. Betfair has carried out a mathematical analysis based on the probabilities of different possible scenarios depending on the odds in the Champions League.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ue-c-article__summary\">\n<figure class=\"ue-c-article__media ue-c-article__media--video  video-dailymotion\"><figcaption class=\"ue-c-article__media-caption\" itemprop=\"description\">\n<p><span class=\"ue-c-article__media-description\">Neymar scores in Kings League, copes with Brazil&#8217;s snub<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"ue-c-article__media ue-c-article__media--image ue-c-article--media-icon-m-from-tablet\">\n<div class=\"ue-c-article__media-img-container ue-l-article--expand-edge-right-until-tablet ue-l-article--expand-edge-left-until-tablet\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"ue-c-article__image\" src=\"https:\/\/objetos-xlk.estaticos-marca.com\/uploads\/2026\/03\/19\/69bc35b80eb55.png\" alt=\"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final\"\/><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Analysis of these scenarios shows that Real Madrid have a 12.06% chance of reaching the final in Budapest (regardless of their opponent), while Atl\u00e9tico Madrid are two places lower at 4.76%. The probability of the combined option Derby is approximately 2.31%. In other words, even if this edition of the Champions League were played 100 times, Real Madrid and Atl\u00e9tico would only meet in the final twice.<\/p>\n<p>The probability of snow falling for five consecutive days in the metropolitan area is also similar.<\/p>\n<p>But if there&#8217;s anything Real Madrid and Atl\u00e9tico are known for, it&#8217;s their stubborn loyalty to defying all logic to overcome the impossible. In the case of Los Blancos, we have the data to prove it. They have won the Champions League five times in the last 10 years, but have never been among the favorites. In the case of Atl\u00e9tico Madrid, they were at a disadvantage in reaching the final twice against their eternal enemies.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"ue-c-article__media ue-c-article__media--image ue-c-article--media-icon-m-from-tablet\">\n<div class=\"ue-c-article__media-img-container ue-l-article--expand-edge-right-until-tablet ue-l-article--expand-edge-left-until-tablet\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"ue-c-article__image\" src=\"https:\/\/objetos-xlk.estaticos-marca.com\/uploads\/2026\/03\/19\/69bc35cd83233.png\" alt=\"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final\"\/><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"ue-c-article__subheadline\">Real Madrid vs Arsenal, third most likely final<\/h2>\n<p>Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid is the 10th most likely option after Real Madrid vs. Barcelona, \u200b\u200bwith a probability of 7.30%. The most unexpected final: Liverpool vs. Sporting Portugal, with a probability of just 0.91%&#8230;the most expected, Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich, with a probability of 17.96% for all combinations.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.marca.com\/en\/football\/champions-league\/2026\/03\/19\/69bc53ef268e3e27468b45c5.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WIs it possible that the final between Madrid and Atleti will be played again in the Champions League, where the two teams met in Milan 10 years ago and in Lisbon 12 years ago? The arithmetic answer is that there are very few. Very few. Betfair has carried out a mathematical analysis based on the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26783,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-26782","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-latest"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final - EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final - EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"WIs it possible that the final between Madrid and Atleti will be played again in the Champions League, where the two teams met in Milan 10 years ago and in Lisbon 12 years ago? The arithmetic answer is that there are very few. Very few. Betfair has carried out a mathematical analysis based on the\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-03-19T23:17:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/objetos-xlk.estaticos-marca.com\/uploads\/2026\/03\/19\/69bc35b80eb55.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin_ok9yktt6\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin_ok9yktt6\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/\",\"name\":\"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final - EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/17739500760245.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-03-19T23:17:34+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#\/schema\/person\/6b2ade58a96ab056f743f12490573ae9\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/17739500760245.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/17739500760245.jpg\",\"width\":1200,\"height\":800},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/\",\"name\":\"EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates\",\"description\":\"EPL VIP is your ultimate source for all things related to the English Premier League. Get the latest EPL news, live match updates, transfer rumors, team analysis, fixtures, and exclusive insights for true football fans.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#\/schema\/person\/6b2ade58a96ab056f743f12490573ae9\",\"name\":\"admin_ok9yktt6\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3caa6e0fae133a2d8ebe213abde6eafe85769664d063c8ab6c7960c877d904ea?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3caa6e0fae133a2d8ebe213abde6eafe85769664d063c8ab6c7960c877d904ea?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"admin_ok9yktt6\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/author\/admin_ok9yktt6\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final - EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final - EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates","og_description":"WIs it possible that the final between Madrid and Atleti will be played again in the Champions League, where the two teams met in Milan 10 years ago and in Lisbon 12 years ago? The arithmetic answer is that there are very few. Very few. Betfair has carried out a mathematical analysis based on the","og_url":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/","og_site_name":"EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates","article_published_time":"2026-03-19T23:17:34+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/objetos-xlk.estaticos-marca.com\/uploads\/2026\/03\/19\/69bc35b80eb55.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"admin_ok9yktt6","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin_ok9yktt6","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/","url":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/","name":"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final - EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/17739500760245.jpg","datePublished":"2026-03-19T23:17:34+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#\/schema\/person\/6b2ade58a96ab056f743f12490573ae9"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/17739500760245.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/17739500760245.jpg","width":1200,"height":800},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/7-chance-of-real-madrid-vs-barcelona-final\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"7% chance of Real Madrid vs Barcelona final"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/","name":"EPL VIP \u2013 Latest English Premier League News &amp; Updates","description":"EPL VIP is your ultimate source for all things related to the English Premier League. Get the latest EPL news, live match updates, transfer rumors, team analysis, fixtures, and exclusive insights for true football fans.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#\/schema\/person\/6b2ade58a96ab056f743f12490573ae9","name":"admin_ok9yktt6","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3caa6e0fae133a2d8ebe213abde6eafe85769664d063c8ab6c7960c877d904ea?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3caa6e0fae133a2d8ebe213abde6eafe85769664d063c8ab6c7960c877d904ea?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"admin_ok9yktt6"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/eplvip.com"],"url":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/author\/admin_ok9yktt6\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26782","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26782"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26782\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26783"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26782"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26782"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eplvip.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26782"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}